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Wild-cats

By RazorX on Wed, Feb 08, 2012 at 19:21

Shooting star on the NZDUSD daily - time to short if it breaks the low?

25 comments
  • Go to RamenHero's profile

    By RamenHero On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 08:26PM

    I can't find the shooting star pattern on babypips. It's probably there I just can't find it :( What is a shooting star?
  • Go to RamenHero's profile

    By RamenHero On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 08:28PM

    I'm only asking because I'm thinking about going long in a few hours XD
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 08:38PM

    A shooting star is a candlestick pattern where the candle has a long upper wick, more than 2 times the size of the candle body. The lower wick is usually shorter than the candle body.
  • Go to RamenHero's profile

    By RamenHero On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 08:44PM

    oh okay, cool. thanks :)
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 08:57PM

    I definitely like the sell better than the buy right now. The sell is a pretty counter trend trade. Seems like this currency is ranging, and it keeps rising just a little and hitting the lower trend line of a previous rising wedge. At least, as I see on H4. The latest shooting star sort of candle on H4 did produce a fair reaction off the top line.
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:03PM

    Correction, a highly counter trend trade. Do a little analysis on the weekly, and note that this has been in a pretty powerful up trend. Of course, it will reverse or retrace, but the question for that sort of thing is when? After it takes out a few short trades stop losses? I kind of expected it to break down sooner.
  • Go to RazorX's profile

    By RazorX On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:10PM

    Yeah it is against the main trend so you'd need really tight management. Last time I saw one of these I took it without waiting for a break of the low and got wasted, so thats why I say if the low breaks it's more likely that we'll see some sort of retrace. Maybe keep your stops tight and targets realistic?
  • Go to RazorX's profile

    By RazorX On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:15PM

    And on further reflection that could be considered more of a doji than a shooting star - what do you think? Quite a bit of a lower wick 2 times or more the body width.
  • Go to RamenHero's profile

    By RamenHero On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:16PM

    I'm still at a point in my noobiness where counter trend trading is pretty scary and i'm staying away from it. I like the strong uptrend so I'm going to hang out and see what the day does to this candle. I might still go long X_X;
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:19PM

    If you look at H1, (again, note it is very counter trend), you can see a classic breakout setup unfolding. If draw a nice clear bottom trend line of the last two supports, you will that it just recently broke that line. After that, it went back up to the line and resisted against it with a shooting star. That is a somewhat pretty thing.
  • Go to RamenHero's profile

    By RamenHero On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:27PM

    Cool. I see what you're talking about on the H1. I'm not sure what you connected to the get the trendline, but I can see the shooting star rejection you're talking about. Might be fun to try and short this...
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:44PM

    I created a new blog post so you could more understand what I am thinking.
  • Go to RamenHero's profile

    By RamenHero On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:46PM

    sweeeeet
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:52PM

    The thing it just did on H1 is pretty freaking scary. Let's see if we can rip apart your .8372 stop loss or below and rub some salt in your wounds. That is some fun stuff.
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:52PM

    I meant you 0.8372 or below stop loss
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 09:56PM

    Not talking about anyone in particulars stop loss. Just the idea of a general area of stop loss where someone would have just got clipped.
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 10:01PM

    That's about 28 pips up and 28 pips down all in about 10 minutes. I guess I just never cease to be amazed
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 10:01PM

    Hope you weren't caught in that avalanche, Razor.
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 10:22PM

    I missed Razor's comment about the shooting star. I don't think it's a doji. But, it is not really a classic pure shooting star. It has a bit too large of a lower wick. Maybe a sign that there is a considerable amount of volatility there? Definitely seems like the case.
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 10:29PM

    Another cool thing to notice here, is how the top of this candle just punched right through the nice even .8400. Wonder how many sell trades there were in the world with a .8400 stop loss when it hit it?
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Wednesday February 8th, 2012 at 10:31PM

    A lot of liquidity was likely added back into the market from all those losing trades. No one on this site of course.
  • Go to RazorX's profile

    By RazorX On Thursday February 9th, 2012 at 02:10AM

    Hmm got stopped out by that nasty action for - 20 pips on the demo account. After that the price hit the short target lol From the above information I'd say I was forex trading. Hope no one here was trading live?
  • Go to bundabergbear's profile

    By bundabergbear On Thursday February 9th, 2012 at 03:06AM

    I think so it will be confirmed after the Euro Interest rate news today
  • Go to bundabergbear's profile

    By bundabergbear On Thursday February 9th, 2012 at 03:05PM

    So did you short?
  • Go to Brad's profile

    By Brad On Thursday February 9th, 2012 at 07:00PM

    I held that for a practice trade, but I just closed for a little profit. That currency is seriously ranging. You needed a fair stop loss to survive the volatility.

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